CNBC
07 Jun 2026, 05:00 UTC · 2h ago
100 days of the Iran war: How global markets and the economy have been affected, in charts
CNBC
07 Jun 2026, 05:00 UTC · 2h ago
Story key points
5 claims · impact-rated
Oil prices could break back above $100 if inventories deplete through June and reach critical operational levels. — A significant jump in energy costs triggers stagflationary fears, increases inflation, and creates systemic pressure on global economies.
-0.80The Strait of Hormuz remains essentially shut down, maintaining Brent crude prices 36% and WTI nearly 50% above pre-war levels. — Persistent supply constraints and higher energy costs act as a drag on economic growth, particularly for European stocks.
-0.60Sovereign bond yields, including U.S. Treasurys and U.K. gilts, remain elevated due to expectations of higher inflation and hawkish monetary policy. — Higher yields increase borrowing costs and create downward pressure on equity valuations.
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AI infrastructure spending is driving growth upgrades for semiconductor stocks and economies like South Korea and Taiwan. — The AI boom is providing a powerful bullish offset to the geopolitical instability, supporting U.S. and Asian tech markets.
+0.50Peace negotiations between the U.S. and Iran have stagnated despite a fragile ceasefire remaining in place. — The lack of a definitive peace deal sustains a baseline of geopolitical risk and volatility across asset classes.
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