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For retail & self-directed investors

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AI chip demand surgeRate cut expectationsEnergy supply pressureChina EV competitionCloud hyperscaler capexReshoring manufacturingDefense spending outlookConsumer credit stressBiotech regulatory cycleDollar strength impactAI chip demand surgeRate cut expectationsEnergy supply pressureChina EV competitionCloud hyperscaler capex

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ThematicAt 07:00 AM, Monday through Friday (America/New_York)

Inflation Winners

Stocks positioned to benefit from persistently high inflation and higher-for-longer rates — precious metals, energy, commodities & materials, pricing-power staples, energy infrastructure, rate-beneficiary financials and inflation-protected proxies — each validated by price momentum and real inflation-news exposure.

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Stocks positioned to benefit from an Iran / Strait-of-Hormuz supply shock — oil & gas, oil services, defense & aerospace, tankers & shipping, uranium & energy security, and safe-haven — each validated by price momentum and real crisis-news exposure.

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Reshoring manufacturing
Defense spending outlook
Consumer credit stress
Biotech regulatory cycle
Dollar strength impact
PDF
nis-momentum-2026-08-14.csvLive screen
SymbolSectorSub SectorRS Rank
AMGFinancial ServicesAsset Management87
ASICFinancial ServicesInsurance - Prope…87
CACFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional87
CPAYTechnologySoftware - Infras…87
CTBIFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional87
ENTGTechnologySemiconductors87
GEIndustrialsAerospace & Defen…87
MBINFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional87
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NIS Short

The short-side inverse of NIS Momentum, applying Minervini SEPA / O'Neil CAN SLIM to the SHORT side. Targets FORMER LEADERS rolling over into a Stage-4 decline — distribution and failure — not perennial losers already at new lows. The whole screen is gated on a bearish market regime (only runs when the S&P is below its 200-day). Pipeline: 0. Market regime gate: skip entirely unless the S&P 500 is below its 200-day MA. 1. Universe: all listed NYSE + NASDAQ tickers. 2. Inverted pre-screen: actively traded, price < SMA200, SMA50 < SMA200, at least 25% below the 52-week high, AND weak RS (bottom ~30%, RS < 30). 3. Stage-4 decline template — all conditions required: • close < SMA50 < SMA150 < SMA200 • SMA200 falling (20-day slope confirmation) • close at least 25% below the 52-week high, and that high is stale (made months ago — peak at least ~5 weeks old) • RS weak (RS < 30 — the inverse of the long side's RS > 70) 4. Former-leader gate (most important): ran 100%+ from a prior trough into its peak over the last 1–3 years, and the peak is at least ~5 weeks old (O'Neil: best shorts are 5–15 weeks after the top, not at the peak). 5. Distribution volume: down-days heavier than up-days over 50 sessions (up/down-volume ratio at or below 0.85 — the inverse of accumulation). 6. Decelerating fundamentals: EPS momentum not accelerating AND (EPS SMA turning down OR a recent earnings miss) — deceleration/disappointment, not absolute badness. 7. Liquidity floor: enough average daily dollar volume to borrow and exit. 8. A ticker is reported only if it passes EVERY technical AND fundamental gate. Output includes the symbol, sector, sub-sector, RS, all Stage-4 technical flags, former-leader/timing metrics (prior-advance %, % below the high, peak age, distance to the declining 50-day = overhead resistance), volume/liquidity, and the deceleration fundamental flags. Squeeze risk (high short interest / days-to-cover) and the exact rally-into-resistance entry are assessed downstream by the AI analysis pass.

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google's cloud grew 82% this quarter. fifth straight quarter it accelerated. the stock fell 8%.

amazon did the same thing — AWS +36.7%, a $496B backlog growing triple digits. down 4%.

those were the best cloud numbers of the entire cycle and both of them got sold.

meanwhile:

PLTR +39.2%
ANET +7.0%
NVDA +5.3%

notice what those three have in common. they all sell TO google and amazon.

google and amazon announced $425B of capex between them. the market stopped paying whoever spends the AI money and started paying whoever receives it.

being the customer is the bad trade right now.

the part nobody expected: western digital beat on revenue AND earnings and still finished -16.9% — into a DRAM shortage that's forecast to get worse through 2027.

a shortage is only good for you until your customer goes shopping for more suppliers.

nvda reports the 26th. that's when the whole thesis gets marked to market.

google's cloud grew 82% this quarter. fifth straight quarter it accelerated. the stock fell 8%. amazon did the same thing — AWS +36.7%, a $496B backlog growing triple digits. down 4%. those were the best cloud numbers of the entire cycle and both of them got sold. meanwhile: PLTR +39.2% ANET +7.0% NVDA +5.3% notice what those three have in common. they all sell TO google and amazon. google and amazon announced $425B of capex between them. the market stopped paying whoever spends the AI money and started paying whoever receives it. being the customer is the bad trade right now. the part nobody expected: western digital beat on revenue AND earnings and still finished -16.9% — into a DRAM shortage that's forecast to get worse through 2027. a shortage is only good for you until your customer goes shopping for more suppliers. nvda reports the 26th. that's when the whole thesis gets marked to market.

View
alphabet’s cloud grew 82% this quarter. fifth straight quarter it accelerated. the stock fell 8%.

amazon is sitting on a $496B backlog growing in triple digits. AWS up 36.7%. down 4%.

those were the best cloud numbers of the entire cycle and both of them got sold.

the week:

PLTR +39.2%
ANET +7.0%
AVGO +6.1%
NVDA +5.3%
MU +4.7%
AMD -2.1%
AMZN -4.1%
GOOGL -8.0%
WDC -16.9%

and the index barely moved. SPY +1.7%. QQQ +2.6%.

here’s what actually separated them. it wasn’t growth — google and amazon printed the best numbers on the board. it was which side of the invoice you’re on.

google and amazon announced $425B of combined capex between them. they are the ones writing the cheques. both got sold.

palantir, arista and nvidia get paid out of exactly that budget. all three went up. palantir did 93% revenue growth and $0.41 against $0.28 expected.

the market stopped paying the companies spending the AI money and started paying the ones receiving it.

the part nobody expected: western digital beat on revenue AND earnings and fell 11% after hours. down 16.9% on the week. this is into a DRAM shortage forecast to get worse through 2027.

that’s two weeks running the memory names get sold into scarcity. a shortage is only good for you until your customer decides to go find more suppliers.

the quiet one nobody talked about: berkshire was a net buyer of ~$20B in Q2. first time in 14 quarters. the most patient money on earth started buying while everyone else argued about capex.

NVDA reports 26 Aug. the whole thesis gets marked to market.

palantir googl amazon semiconductors datacenter swingtrading stockmarketnews techstocks earnings berkshirebig tech reported in pairs this week. both pairs split down the middle.

wednesday night: Microsoft and Meta. thursday night: Amazon and Apple. same two nights, same industry, opposite outcomes.

the week:

MSFT +21.8%
AMZN +17.0%
GOOGL +11.4%
NVDA -2.9%
META -6.5%
AAPL -7.2%
MU -10.6%
SNDK -15.4%

and the index did nothing. SPY +1.1%. QQQ +0.6%. all of that violence netted out to a quiet week.

it wasn't AI exposure that separated them — all four are all-in. it was whether the spending showed up as a signed obligation or only as a bill. Microsoft is carrying $678B of contracted work, up 84%. AWS grew 37% against 31% expected. Meta's free cash flow fell 91% to $784M. Apple guided below consensus.

the part nobody expected: a memory shortage should be great news for memory makers. they had the worst week of anyone. friday MU opened +5.1% and finished -5.9%. when the largest buyer on earth says he's shopping for more suppliers, that's what the top of a pricing cycle sounds like.

stop treating "AI" as one position.
Instagram post
View
A fintech you’ve never heard of more than doubled while the market barely moved — and it’s breaking out again.

$SEZL: +135% vs the S&P’s +6%. Buy-now-pay-later, and it’s everywhere now. Profits doubled in a year, 4 straight earnings beats.

Entry 170, target 198. Loses the 50-day, you’re out.

Not advice. But the screener that flagged it 👉 newsimpactscreener.com

A fintech you’ve never heard of more than doubled while the market barely moved — and it’s breaking out again. $SEZL: +135% vs the S&P’s +6%. Buy-now-pay-later, and it’s everywhere now. Profits doubled in a year, 4 straight earnings beats. Entry 170, target 198. Loses the 50-day, you’re out. Not advice. But the screener that flagged it 👉 newsimpactscreener.com

View

alphabet’s cloud grew 82% this quarter. fifth straight quarter it accelerated. the stock fell 8%. amazon is sitting on a $496B backlog growing in triple digits. AWS up 36.7%. down 4%. those were the best cloud numbers of the entire cycle and both of them got sold. the week: PLTR +39.2% ANET +7.0% AVGO +6.1% NVDA +5.3% MU +4.7% AMD -2.1% AMZN -4.1% GOOGL -8.0% WDC -16.9% and the index barely moved. SPY +1.7%. QQQ +2.6%. here’s what actually separated them. it wasn’t growth — google and amazon printed the best numbers on the board. it was which side of the invoice you’re on. google and amazon announced $425B of combined capex between them. they are the ones writing the cheques. both got sold. palantir, arista and nvidia get paid out of exactly that budget. all three went up. palantir did 93% revenue growth and $0.41 against $0.28 expected. the market stopped paying the companies spending the AI money and started paying the ones receiving it. the part nobody expected: western digital beat on revenue AND earnings and fell 11% after hours. down 16.9% on the week. this is into a DRAM shortage forecast to get worse through 2027. that’s two weeks running the memory names get sold into scarcity. a shortage is only good for you until your customer decides to go find more suppliers. the quiet one nobody talked about: berkshire was a net buyer of ~$20B in Q2. first time in 14 quarters. the most patient money on earth started buying while everyone else argued about capex. NVDA reports 26 Aug. the whole thesis gets marked to market. palantir googl amazon semiconductors datacenter swingtrading stockmarketnews techstocks earnings berkshire

View

big tech reported in pairs this week. both pairs split down the middle. wednesday night: Microsoft and Meta. thursday night: Amazon and Apple. same two nights, same industry, opposite outcomes. the week: MSFT +21.8% AMZN +17.0% GOOGL +11.4% NVDA -2.9% META -6.5% AAPL -7.2% MU -10.6% SNDK -15.4% and the index did nothing. SPY +1.1%. QQQ +0.6%. all of that violence netted out to a quiet week. it wasn't AI exposure that separated them — all four are all-in. it was whether the spending showed up as a signed obligation or only as a bill. Microsoft is carrying $678B of contracted work, up 84%. AWS grew 37% against 31% expected. Meta's free cash flow fell 91% to $784M. Apple guided below consensus. the part nobody expected: a memory shortage should be great news for memory makers. they had the worst week of anyone. friday MU opened +5.1% and finished -5.9%. when the largest buyer on earth says he's shopping for more suppliers, that's what the top of a pricing cycle sounds like. stop treating "AI" as one position.

View