CNBC
04 Aug 2026, 11:56 UTC · 2h ago
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The U.S. and Iran may reach a deal by Tuesday or Wednesday to reopen the Strait of Hormuz with freedom of movement for commercial ships. — Reopening a critical maritime chokepoint removes a major geopolitical risk premium from oil prices and increases global supply stability.
-0.80Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent expects prices for energy, fertilizer, refined products, and industrial gases to fall as stuck ships exit the Persian Gulf. — Directly forecasts a 'relief trade' resulting in downward price pressure on a broad basket of global commodities.
-0.60President Donald Trump called off a major attack on Iran to facilitate negotiations to reopen the strait. — Reduced immediate risk of large-scale military escalation lowers the probability of a severe global shock.
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Fox Business
4h ago
