Benzinga
08 Jun 2026, 11:38 UTC · 3h ago
Former IBM Chief Scientist's 3 Filters For SpaceX IPO Buyers
Benzinga
08 Jun 2026, 11:38 UTC · 3h ago
Story key points
5 claims · impact-rated
SpaceX is set to begin trading on June 12 with a targeted valuation of $1.75 trillion, potentially making it the largest IPO in history. — The scale of the IPO and the massive valuation of a high-profile company can significantly shift market sentiment and capital flows in the tech sector.
+0.80Morningstar estimates SpaceX's fair value at $780 billion, which is approximately 55% below the targeted deal price. — A significant valuation gap from a major research firm suggests the stock may be overpriced, increasing the risk of a post-IPO price correction.
-0.60OpenAI and Anthropic are expected to follow SpaceX with IPOs later in the year, with the three companies potentially raising $200 billion combined. — A cluster of massive AI and space-tech listings creates a significant liquidity event and sustains bullish momentum for the broader AI/tech ecosystem.
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SpaceX reported a loss of $4.9 billion last year and will not join the S&P 500 at launch due to its lack of profitability. — Heavy losses and exclusion from a primary index limit institutional buying demand from S&P 500 tracking funds.
-0.40SpaceX's Starlink has crossed 10 million subscribers and its connectivity unit has achieved quarterly profitability. — Proof of commercial viability and a path to profit for a core business unit mitigates some of the risks associated with the overall company losses.
+0.30Ticker attribution
Model heads
Despite strong demand for Starlink, the company reported a $4.9 billion loss and Morningstar suggests the IPO price is significantly above fair value.
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