CNBC
11 Jun 2026, 11:47 UTC · 2h ago
Huge private equity software bets most at risk as investors face returns squeeze, Apollo says
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
CNBC
11 Jun 2026, 11:47 UTC · 2h ago
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
What the story claims
5 claims · each scored for market impact
Private equity has a $4 trillion backlog of unsold assets as average hold times have doubled from four to eight years. — A massive overhang of illiquid assets creates significant downward pressure on future exit valuations as firms are forced to return capital.
-0.60Software now accounts for 40% of global buyout volumes, up from 10%, creating a systemic risk management failure. — Extreme concentration in a single sector increases the vulnerability of the entire PE asset class to sector-specific shocks or AI disruption.
-0.50Last year marked the first time in history that sponsor exits occurred at prices lower than the assets' marked valuations. — This indicates a fundamental break in valuation trends and suggests that aggressive marks across the industry may be unsustainable.
-0.40Continue reading
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The industry is expected to see a bifurcation in returns and potential fundraising failures for firms that used aggressive valuations. — Increased dispersion in returns will likely lead to a flight to quality and the collapse of underperforming fund managers.
-0.30AI may lower barriers to entry in software, potentially depressing growth and margins for existing portfolio companies. — Structural headwinds to margins for a large portion of PE holdings could lead to lower terminal values.
-0.20Which stocks this story touches
The company's strategy of focusing on 'HALO' assets is presented as a prudent hedge against the systemic risks and valuation bubbles affecting the broader private equity industry.
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