CNBC
09 Jul 2026, 18:11 UTC · 2h ago
Kalshi traders think gas prices will stay higher for longer as U.S.-Iran tensions heat back up
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
CNBC
09 Jul 2026, 18:11 UTC · 2h ago
NewsImpactScreener rates every claim in this story for market impact and maps it to the tickers most exposed.
What the story claims
3 claims · each scored for market impact
The United States and Iran are currently exchanging military strikes, creating uncertainty regarding traffic flows in the Strait of Hormuz. — Direct conflict in a critical oil transit chokepoint significantly increases geopolitical risk and the probability of supply disruptions.
-0.80WTI crude oil prices experienced a sharp spike from approximately $68 to $75 per barrel within a few days due to Middle East hostilities. — Rising energy costs act as a tax on consumers and businesses, potentially dampening economic growth and increasing inflationary pressure.
-0.50Prediction market traders on Kalshi have increased the probability that US gas prices will remain above $3.50 per gallon through Election Day to 75%. — Sentiment shifting toward sustained higher energy prices suggests markets expect a prolonged period of elevated operating costs for the economy.
-0.30Continue reading
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