FXEmpire
04 Jun 2026, 05:39 UTC · 2h ago
Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: 9 Weeks of Ceasefire – WTI & Brent Defend Floors, NatGas Eyes $3.25?
FXEmpire
04 Jun 2026, 05:39 UTC · 2h ago
Story key points
4 claims · impact-rated
The geopolitical risk premium for oil has been largely removed due to a nine-week U.S.-Iran conditional ceasefire. — The removal of a risk premium typically leads to lower price floors for commodities as speculative 'war' pricing evaporates.
-0.60Oil market focus has shifted back to fundamentals, characterized by record U.S. production and expanding non-OPEC supply from Brazil, Guyana, and Canada. — Increased global supply typically puts downward pressure on crude oil prices.
-0.40Global oil demand growth is being tempered by high interest rates and restrained consumer spending in Western nations. — Reduced demand expectations act as a ceiling on price growth for energy assets.
-0.30Continue reading
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Natural gas remains supported by solid inventory builds in the U.S. and Europe and a solid long-term demand outlook for 2026. — Strong fundamentals and demand prospects provide a bullish support level for gas prices.
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