New York Post
27 May 2026, 13:38 UTC · 2h ago
Source · https://nypost.com/2026/05/27/business/oil-plunges-to-89-per-barrel-after-iran-reports-that-peace-deal-would-reopen-strait-of-hormuz-in-1-month/
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A proposed Iran-US peace deal could reopen the Strait of Hormuz to commercial shipping within one month. — Restoring the flow of 20% of the world's oil supply would significantly increase global supply and exert strong downward pressure on crude prices.
-0.80President Trump has slowed the deal process due to Congressional concerns that it fails to address Iran's nuclear program. — Political friction and the risk of deal collapse maintain a floor under oil prices by prolonging the supply disruption.
+0.50Under the draft MOU, the US would withdraw forces from around Iran and lift its naval blockade. — De-escalation of military tension reduces the geopolitical risk premium currently baked into oil prices.
-0.40Iran insists it will take no steps toward the deal without 'tangible verification.' — Stricter conditions from Iran increase the likelihood of further delays or a complete breakdown in negotiations.
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