The Motley Fool
03 Aug 2026, 03:30 UTC · 1h ago
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The 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.24%, its highest level in 20 years, indicating a 'bear steepening' pattern. — Surging long-term yields increase borrowing costs across the economy and put significant downward pressure on the prices of long-duration assets.
-0.80Futures markets are pricing in a 65% probability of a rate hike in September and an 85% chance of at least one hike by year-end. — Expectations of further monetary tightening generally reduce risk appetite and lower valuations for equities.
-0.70Three regional Fed presidents dissented in favor of a quarter-point hike, the first time since 2016 that three members disagreed with the consensus simultaneously. — Strong internal dissent toward hawkish policy suggests a higher likelihood of future rate increases to combat inflation.
-0.50Continue reading
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Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to provide less transparency and specific guidance regarding the future path of interest rates. — Reduced forward guidance increases market uncertainty and volatility, leading investors to sell off Treasury positions.
-0.40Which stocks this story touches
The ETF is highlighted as being down over 40% from its all-time high due to rising long-term Treasury yields.
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