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Seeking Alpha

09 Jul 2026, 13:55 UTC · 3h ago

The Fed Minutes Reinforce A Hawkish Outlook

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What the story claims

3 claims · each scored for market impact

What matters in this story

1
The real Fed Funds rate is currently estimated at 0.2%, which is considered too low given inflation targets. — Suggests a significant need for further rate hikes or a prolonged pause to achieve a truly restrictive stance.
-0.80
2
Core PCE inflation is expected to remain elevated at 3.5% year-over-year through July. — Persistent inflation reduces the likelihood of near-term rate cuts and pressures valuation multiples.
-0.60
3
Fed minutes indicate a renewed focus on persistent inflation and a stabilized labor market. — Signals that the Fed has the economic headroom to maintain restrictive policy without fearing an immediate labor market collapse.
-0.40