Seeking Alpha
05 Jun 2026, 14:30 UTC · 2h ago
The Hidden Force Behind Market Cycles: Investor Disagreement
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Seeking Alpha
05 Jun 2026, 14:30 UTC · 2h ago
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New research suggests that investor beliefs, rather than fundamental data, are the primary drivers of long-term market dynamics. — This implies markets are less efficient and more prone to psychological volatility than a fundamental-driven model suggests.
-0.30Retail investors tend to extrapolate past returns to predict future performance. — This behavior often fuels momentum trends and asset bubbles in the short to medium term.
+0.20Sophisticated investors typically exhibit contrarian behavior. — Contrarian action by large players provides liquidity and a stabilizing force against retail-driven trends.
+0.10Ticker attribution
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