Seeking Alpha
30 May 2026, 12:30 UTC · 1h ago
Source · https://seekingalpha.com/article/4910234-may-labor-market-likely-to-be-weak-yet-fed-might-still-need-to-hike
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The Federal Reserve may be forced to raise interest rates despite a weakening labor market due to persistent supply-side energy inflation. — A 'hawkish' Fed raising rates into a slowing economy increases the risk of a hard landing and raises borrowing costs.
-0.80Recent PMI and regional Fed data indicate potential downside risks to May non-farm payrolls, including the possibility of negative job growth. — Unexpectedly weak employment data would signal a rapid economic deterioration, increasing recession fears.
-0.50The market consensus expects May non-farm payrolls to increase by 96K. — Consensus expectations are generally already priced into the market.
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