The Motley Fool
23 Aug 2026, 08:24 UTC · 2h ago
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The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio hit 40 in June 2024, a level reached only once before in 155 years (1999). — Historically, such extreme valuation peaks have preceded major market crashes, such as the dot-com bubble burst.
-0.80Analysis by Invesco indicates that the S&P 500 has delivered negative annualized returns over the subsequent decade following periods of frothy CAPE ratios. — This suggests a long-term drag on returns and a likely reversion to the mean for current investors.
-0.60Current S&P 500 earnings are rising faster than valuations, potentially deviating from previous historical bubbles. — Faster earnings growth can justify higher valuations and mitigate the risk of a sharp price correction.
+0.30Which stocks this story touches
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